The Second Look ① The Verdict — your file ② The Vintage — your year ③ The Meter — today’s climate A denial is a data point, not a verdict on you.

Just denied? Start with The Denial Map — four steps from the federal record →

Research and analysis by — 23 years in banking (credit side), now analyzing federal HMDA records independently. No ads, no lender compensation. Methodology · [email protected]
The Verdict · Beta

Your denial, re-tried.

A denial letter is one lender’s opinion. This is what 1,187,606 real FHA case files say about the same coordinates. Enter your file. Get the verdict: was it your profile — or their pattern?

Don’t know your DTI? Calculate it →
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Free · no signup · nothing is stored. Historical FHA patterns from CFPB HMDA 2025 — a statistical analysis with courtroom theming, not a legal proceeding or advice, and not a prediction or allegation about any lender or file.

Fair lending: FRC analyses exclude all protected-class variables (race, ethnicity, sex, age). We judge lender behavior across financial variables only. Every statistic above is reproducible from the public CFPB HMDA loan-level dataset — methodology at FRC Research.

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⏱ What did the market do since?
The Meter reads FHFA state records from your denial date to today.
Read the Meter →

🍷 Or start one layer up: was the YEAR itself against you? Judge your Vintage →

The facts behind this verdict

Source: CFPB HMDA loan-level records (1,187,606 decisioned FHA applications in 2025), analyzed by FinanceRateCalc. Free to quote with attribution. More: answers · methodology.

Your verdict is about one file. But was the year itself against you? → Check your application vintage
The Denial Dispatch
One finding a week from the federal mortgage record.
One chart, three paragraphs, every Saturday. Measured, not assumed.
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AI Accuracy Index The Door Effect The Denial Map Open Data About Press Newsletter
FinanceRateCalc · Independent analysis of the complete federal HMDA record · Measured, not assumed. · No lender or AI vendor funds or previews this work.