FinanceRateCalc
Research and analysis by — 23 years in banking (credit side), now analyzing federal HMDA records independently. No ads, no lender compensation. Methodology · [email protected]

The FRC Credit Climate Index is published by FinanceRateCalc (FRC Research) — independent, no lender affiliation. The methodology is fully public: components, sources, and scoring at financeratecalc.com/methodology. Updated the first Tuesday of every month.

FRC Denial Climate

Credit-climate timeline: pastpresentforecast · see all three together →

One number for the only question that matters to a borrower: how hard is it to get approved right now? A composite of FHA denial rates, Fed loan-officer surveys (SLOOS), mortgage-Treasury spreads, and home-price momentum — from federal data, no surveys of opinion, no vendor money.

Current reading · July 2026 release
54.3/100
NEUTRAL
Next release: first Tuesday of each month

The record, 2018–2025

YearClimateRegime
201849.5NEUTRAL
201942.4ACCOMMODATIVE
202050.9NEUTRAL
202121.1ACCOMMODATIVE
202261.7TIGHTENING
202366.4RESTRICTIVE
202454.6NEUTRAL
202554.3NEUTRAL

The story in one line: 2021 was the loosest credit year of the era (21); 2023 the tightest (66); 2025 settled to neutral (54). A denial is judged against the year it happened in — judge yours →

For journalists & researchers

Cite freely as: “FRC Denial Climate Index (FinanceRateCalc), a composite of federal HMDA, SLOOS, rate-spread and FHFA HPI data.” Machine-readable series: citable.json · method: methodology · interviews & custom cuts: [email protected] (built and answered by a banking professional).

Put the dial on your site

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Cite this finding · CC BY 4.0

“2023 was the tightest U.S. mortgage credit year since the squeeze, reading 66/100 on the FRC Credit Climate Index, versus 21/100 in 2021 — the loosest on record.”

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FinanceRateCalc · Independent analysis of the complete federal HMDA record · Measured, not assumed. · No lender or AI vendor funds or previews this work.