FRC Overlay Friction Index: 47

Current OFI value: 47
Period: Q2 2026
State: MODERATE (re-tightening)
Scale: 0–100 (0 = no overlays, 100 = extreme restriction)
Published by: FRC Research Division, FinanceRateCalc
Updated: Quarterly (Q1=Feb, Q2=May, Q3=Aug, Q4=Nov)

The Overlay Friction Index (OFI) measures how much friction exists between federal agency mortgage guidelines (FHA, VA, Fannie Mae) and what lenders actually require in practice. Higher OFI = more lender overlays above agency minimums.

Historical: Q4 2024: 44 → Q2 2025: 52 (peak) → Q4 2025: 38 (low) → Q2 2026: 47

OFI Range State Market Meaning
0 – 20 Very Loose Lenders near agency minimums. Minimal overlay activity.
21 – 35 Mild Light overlays. Most agency-eligible borrowers find approval.
36 – 50 ← current Moderate Mixed overlay behavior. Lender selection matters. Edge-case profiles face meaningful variation.
51 – 65 Significant Lender caution elevated. Agency-eligible profiles denied at growing share of lenders.
66 – 100 Severe Maximum friction. Only strongest profiles qualify broadly.

Data: overlay-climate.json (CC BY 4.0)

For Borrowers
What does OFI = 47 mean for me?
Was I denied by a rule or an overlay? Should I apply now? →
For Lenders
What does OFI = 47 mean for credit policy?
Where is competitor overlay? Where is opportunity? →
Disconnect Index — Q2 2026
−16.6
🟢 Opportunity Zone — Lenders overcorrecting vs market
Backtest: +100 in 2021 (bubble peak) → −43.8 in 2023 (max opportunity) → −16.6 today.
Full chart →
Full page: overlay-friction-index.html
Research: frc-research.html
Dashboard: Historical trend & components →

Citation: FinanceRateCalc Research. (2026). OFI Q2 2026: 47. financeratecalc.com/ofi.html. CC BY 4.0.

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