FinanceRateCalc
Research and analysis by — 23 years in banking (credit side), now analyzing federal HMDA records independently. No ads, no lender compensation. Methodology · [email protected]

The price of every door: FHA rates vs. approval odds (2025)

Direct answer · updated 2026-07-19

The soft door does not cost more. Across the 60 largest FHA purchase lenders in 2025, the correlation between denial rate and median rate spread was −0.25 — slightly negative. The old assumption that easy approval means expensive money does not appear in the federal record. The exception hiding in plain sight: every lender with a negative median spread is builder-affiliated — median rates of 3.99–4.875% against a ~6.25–6.5% market. Source: 1,217,297 decisioned FHA applications, CFPB HMDA 2025; medians over originated purchase loans, spreads vs APOR.

The full table: odds and price, side by side

Sorted softest first. Median rate and spread computed over originated purchase loans only. Negative spread (green) = priced below the average prime offer rate.

LenderDenial rateMedian rateMedian spread
Flat Branch Mortgage, Inc.1.7%6.5%0.689
Vanderbilt Mortgage And Financ2.7%5.625%-0.046
Atlantic Bay Mortgage Group3.1%6.5%0.669
Canopy Mortgage, LLC3.1%6.25%0.561
Ark-La-Tex Financial Services 3.6%6.25%0.412
Nfm, Inc3.8%6.25%0.617
Das Acquisition Company, LLC3.8%6.625%0.879
Velocio Mortgage, L.L.C. BUILDER4.0%3.99%-1.876
Crosscountry Mortgage, LLC4.6%6.575%0.742
Towne Mortgage Company4.6%6.25%0.471
M/I Financial. LLC BUILDER5.2%4.875%-1.017
Guild Mortgage Company5.3%6.375%0.614
Cmg Mortgage Inc5.3%6.125%0.442
American Neighborhood Mortgage5.3%6.625%0.774
Movement Mortgage, LLC5.7%6.5%0.719
Paramount Residential Mortgage5.7%6.375%0.578
Ruoff Mortgage Company6.0%6.75%0.838
Fairway Independent Mort Corp6.5%6.5%0.744
Primelending6.7%6.49%0.617
Gold Star Mortgage Financial G6.8%6.625%0.772
Union Home Mortgage Corp.7.4%6.375%0.67
New American Funding, LLC.7.8%6.625%0.91
Primary Residential Mortgage, 8.1%6.625%0.776
Stockton Mortgage Corporation8.4%6.625%0.853
T2 Financial LLC8.5%6.5%0.695
First Community Mortgage, Inc.8.7%6.375%0.607
Acrisure Mortgage, LLC8.8%5.49%-0.166
Everett Financial, Inc.8.9%6.625%0.929
Click N' Close, Inc.9.2%6.75%1.79
Securitynational Mortgage Comp9.3%6.5%0.782
Guaranteed Rate, Inc.9.4%6.375%0.615
Prosperity Home Mortgage, LLC9.4%6.25%0.487
The Loan Store, Inc9.6%6.25%0.397
American Financial Resources L9.8%6.5%0.64
Cardinal Financial Company, Li10.0%6.375%0.75
American Pacific Mortgage Corp10.1%6.5%0.782
Lower, LLC10.8%6.375%0.593
Ocmbc, Inc.10.8%6.25%0.561
Kbhs Home Loans, LLC BUILDER12.2%5.75%-0.018
Zillow Home Loans, LLC12.3%6.5%0.654
United Wholesale Mortgage12.7%6.125%0.381
Plains Commerce Bank13.4%6.25%0.529
Newrez LLC13.9%6.25%0.356
Sun West Mortgage Company, Inc14.2%6.367%0.527
American Financial Network, In14.6%6.75%0.982
Inspire Home Loans Inc. BUILDER15.7%4.875%-0.975
Planet Home Lending, LLC15.9%6.25%0.569
Equity Prime Mortgage LLC16.0%6.625%0.761
Pennymac Loan Services LLC18.6%6.125%0.354
Freedom Mortgage Corporation19.4%6.25%0.194
Rocket Mortgage19.5%6.25%0.456
Dhi Mortgage Company, Ltd. BUILDER20.5%4.5%-1.397
Loandepot.Com LLC21.3%5.875%0.059
Lennar Mortgage, LLC BUILDER22.9%4.5%-1.331
Mortgage Research Center23.7%6.625%0.73
Kind Lending, LLC24.1%6.25%0.399
Pulte Mortgage LLC BUILDER26.8%4.875%-1.122
Plaza Home Mortgage, Inc30.7%6.49%0.631
Nvr Mortgage Finance, Inc. BUILDER34.0%5.99%0.194
Flagstar Bank Na37.4%6.25%0.311

The buydown club

Six lenders priced below APOR at the median in 2025 — and all six are builder-affiliated: Velocio (3.99%), DHI Mortgage (4.5%), Lennar (4.5%), Pulte (4.875%), M/I Financial (4.875%), Inspire (4.875%). Builders are subsidizing the rate to sell the house, and the federal record shows the size of the subsidy: 1.5 to 2.5 points below market. The catch sits in their denial DNA: several of the same shops (Pulte 26.8%, NVR 34.0%) deny well above average — almost entirely on DTI. Builder financing is the cheapest door in America if you clear the math wall.

The manufactured-home map

Nationally, manufactured-home FHA applications were denied at 23.3% versus 21.8% for site-built — a mild gap. But the gap lives at specific doors: Rocket denied 38.7% of manufactured applications (vs 29.8% overall) and AmeriSave 79.1%, while CrossCountry held at 6.9%. The penalty is real at generalist doors and absent at others.

Lender (manufactured only)AppsDenial rate
United Wholesale Mortgage5,85321.5%
Rocket Mortgage4,59738.7%
Crosscountry Mortgage, LLC2,0416.9%
Amerisave Mortgage Company1,99679.1%
Guild Mortgage Company1,8579.3%
Cardinal Financial Company, Li1,75811.0%
New American Funding, LLC.1,69628.6%
American Financial Resources L1,6089.0%
Newrez LLC1,37237.0%
Freedom Mortgage Corporation1,16835.6%
Fairway Independent Mort Corp1,13710.3%
Loandepot.Com LLC1,11148.7%

What this is not

Medians describe originated loans, not offers: spreads reflect borrower mix, points, buydowns, and lock timing as well as pricing appetite; this is not an APR or fee comparison and not advice. Rates and denial rates travel with channel design — see the reason fingerprint. Context: the top-100 table · the state door map.

Cite this finding · CC BY 4.0

“Across the 60 largest FHA lenders, the correlation between denial rate and median rate spread was −0.25 in 2025 — the soft door does not cost more, according to FinanceRateCalc.”