Methodology
Official federal data published methodology reproducible calculation FinanceRateCalc interpretation
We are not the source. We are the layer that makes the source usable — and every step above is checkable.
Open source · MCP · CC BY 4.0

Let an agent query the federal record instead of guessing at it.

An AI assistant asked about a mortgage lender has three options today: recall something from training, scrape a webpage, or estimate. We tested four systems on ten questions with verifiable answers this week and watched all three failure modes — including fabricated lender tables carrying real citations. The scorecard.

This is the fourth option: a Model Context Protocol server that returns the actual federal record. 98 institutions, 319 metropolitan areas, 52 jurisdictions, from the complete 2025 CFPB HMDA file.

Remote connection (no install)

Connect any MCP-capable client or agent directly over HTTP — nothing to install:

https://frc-mcp.ziyetis.workers.dev

Streamable HTTP transport; same five tools, same hard limit (historical aggregates only — no individual predictions). Custom domain coming.

Install (live now)

Any MCP host (Claude Desktop, agent frameworks) — add to your MCP config:

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "financeratecalc": { "command": "npx", "args": ["-y", "github:financeratecalc/frc-mcp"] }
  }
}

Five tools: national stats, lender lookup, lender rankings, state stats, and the Door Effect summary. Source: github.com/financeratecalc/frc-mcp ·

FinanceRateCalc on AllMCPs

REST spec: openapi.json

Install

Not on PyPI yet — install from source. It is a single file plus a data file, with one dependency.

git clone https://github.com/financeratecalc/financeratecalc.github.io
cd financeratecalc.github.io/mcp
pip install mcp
python frc_mcp.py

Claude Desktop — add to claude_desktop_config.json:

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "financeratecalc": {
      "command": "python",
      "args": ["/full/path/to/mcp/frc_mcp.py"]
    }
  }
}

Tools

ToolReturns
get_lender_recordDecisioned applications, denial and approval rate, peer-adjusted ratio, denial-reason distribution against peer medians
get_metro_recordMetro rate, small-loan penalty, highest-volume lenders there and the spread between them
get_state_recordState rate and small-loan penalty
compare_lendersSide-by-side observed records
explain_denial_reasonHow common a cited reason is, and how concentrated
get_methodologyUniverse, denominator rules, exclusions, limitations, verification status

What it will not do

There is no endpoint that takes borrower details and returns an approval probability, and there will not be one. This server returns observed counts and rates from a federal file. It does not rate, score, rank by quality, or recommend institutions, and denial rates reflect applicant composition as well as lender practice.

Institutions below 1,500 decisioned applications are not served, because the figures would be unstable. Cuts of the data that were computed but withheld from publication for insufficient sample — state × debt-to-income × lender cells, for instance — are not served either. What the site declines to publish, the server declines to return.

Verification status travels with the number

Every response carries a verification_status field reading "reproducible; not independently reproduced", along with the universe definition, the method link and the dataset DOI. That is accurate, and attaching it to each response makes it harder to drop in transit than a caveat sitting at the bottom of a webpage.

No figure this server returns has been independently reproduced. The specification for checking any of them, with expected values, is at reconciliation.

Source

The server and its data file are in the site repository: github.com/financeratecalc → /mcp. Read it before you trust it — it is about 250 lines and every figure it serves is already published on this site.

The full record — every artifact, one place
Data · Zenodo, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.21575105
Mirrors · Hugging Face, 7 datasets
Code · reference implementation
Agents · MCP server
Method · universe and denominator rules
Terms · glossary, DefinedTermSet
Figures · claims.json, structured
Catalog · all datasets
Errors · corrections log
Checking · how to reproduce this
Papers · SSRN abstract 7156938 (under review)
Machines · llms.txt

Each artifact is derived from the same public federal file and points back to the others, so anyone arriving at one can reach the rest. None of it has been independently reproduced — that remains the open item, and the specification for closing it is in the reconciliation link above.

Want these figures on your own page? embed widget and JSON API →

Prefer it while you shop? The Chrome extension shows a metro's FHA record on any Zillow, Redfin or Realtor.com listing.

The part almost nobody publishes free

Prices and rates are widely reported. Whether a lender says yes is not. In the complete 2025 federal record, denial rates across the 100 largest FHA lenders ran from 1.8% to 78.7% — same programme, same year.

And it is not simply who applies where: standardizing on state, loan amount, income, debt-to-income and loan-to-value, applicant mix explains only a 2.7× range in expected outcomes.

Which lenders approve most → Your metro → Denied? →

CFPB HMDA 2025, computed by FinanceRateCalc. Covers the highest-volume lenders published per market, not all lenders. Historical observations, not predictions. CC BY 4.0, not independently reproduced.

The Denial Dispatch
One finding a week from the federal mortgage record.
One chart, three paragraphs, every Saturday. Measured, not assumed.
Get the Dispatch →
AI Accuracy Index The Door Effect The Denial Map Open Data About 184 Metro Gaps Evidence Navigator Hallucination Files Press Newsletter
FinanceRateCalc · Independent analysis of the complete federal HMDA record · Measured, not assumed. · No lender or AI vendor funds or previews this work.