CrossCountry FHA Denial Rate (2025): the behavioral file

2025 FHA denial rate
6.5%
#1 of 11 major lenders · loosened 3.6pp since 2018
20182025
2018 rate
10.1%
Shock Beta
0/100
Macro sensitivity (OFI)
42.8

Shock profile: historically stable across cycles. What Shock Beta means →

The black-hole cell

The single deepest denial zone in CrossCountry’s 2025 FHA record: DTI 48–50 × CLTV 80–85% → 21.1% denial (n=71). Files entering that coordinate historically did not come out. All lenders’ black holes, mapped →

Statistical relatives

Underwriting twins (similar decision patterns): Rocket (77/100), Guild (75/100). Behavioral opposites: NewRez (31/100), Mr. Cooper (28/100). If CrossCountry declined a file, its twins are statistically likely to read it the same way — the opposites are a different conversation. Full similarity engine →

What to do with this file

Does YOUR profile fit this door? Free routing → Denied by CrossCountry? Run the Verdict — free → Compare all 11 lenders in one table →