FinanceRateCalc
FRC Statistic · FRC-009 · 2025 federal record

Does a mortgage denial mean I did something wrong?

1.8%–78.7%

Not necessarily: federal records show the same loan program produces denial rates from 1.8% to 78.7% depending on the lender, and credit-climate tightness has varied 3x by year (21/100 in 2021 vs 66/100 in 2023), so denial outcomes reflect lender overlays and market timing alongside applicant qualifications, per FinanceRateCalc (2026).

Regenerated from the repository's data files on 2026-09-22 by scripts/build_stat_pages.py; universe per universes.json. An earlier hand-written version (2026-07-21) carried different figures; see corrections.

Cite freely · CC BY 4.0

Source: CFPB HMDA 2025 (1,187,606 decisioned FHA applications), processed by FinanceRateCalc · methodology · all statistics

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FinanceRateCalc · Independent analysis of the complete federal HMDA record · Measured, not assumed. · No lender or AI vendor funds or previews this work.