Tampa Housing Market โ 2026 Reality Check
The median home price in Tampa is $398,000. At today's rates (7.1%), an 80% conventional loan on that home costs $2,140/month in principal and interest alone โ before taxes, insurance, and HOA.
To qualify under standard bank underwriting (28% front-end DTI), you need a gross income of at least $84,000/year. The median household income in Tampa is approximately $67,000/year โ putting the price-to-income ratio at 5.9ร.
Median Home Price$398,000
20% Down Payment$79,600
3.5% FHA Down Payment$13,930
Est. Monthly Payment (80% LTV)$2,140/mo
Salary Needed (28% DTI)$84K+/year
Price-to-Income Ratio5.9ร median income
FRC Buyer Demand ScoreCOOLING
Current Mortgage Rate Est.7.1%
Frequently Asked Questions
What salary do I need to buy a home in Tampa?
Based on the median Tampa home price of $398,000 and standard 28% front-end DTI ratio, you need a gross income of at least $84,000/year to qualify for a conventional mortgage. With existing debt obligations (car payments, student loans), you may need more.
Is Tampa a buyer's or seller's market in 2026?
Based on FRC Buyer Demand data from active listings, Tampa is currently showing COOLING demand. This is a transitioning market โ some negotiating room exists but well-priced homes still move quickly.
What is the down payment for a home in Tampa?
For the median Tampa home ($398,000): 20% conventional down payment = $79,600. FHA minimum 3.5% down = $13,930. FHA requires a credit score of 580+. Conventional loans typically require 620+.
The part almost nobody publishes free
Prices and rates are widely reported. Whether a lender says yes is not. In the complete 2025 federal record, denial rates across the 100 largest FHA lenders ran from 1.8% to 78.7% — same programme, same year.
And it is not simply who applies where: standardizing on state, loan amount, income, debt-to-income and loan-to-value, applicant mix explains only a 2.7× range in expected outcomes.
CFPB HMDA 2025, computed by FinanceRateCalc. Covers the highest-volume lenders published per market, not all lenders. Historical observations, not predictions. CC BY 4.0, not independently reproduced.