πŸ“Š Monthly Research Report Β· April 2026 Β· Volume 2 Β· Updated

FRC Affordability Index
April 2026

Real mortgage denial patterns Β· Salary-to-home-price ratios Β· Generational affordability gaps Β· 50 US markets

The FRC Affordability Index is a monthly analysis of mortgage market conditions based on public data, our Bank Rejection Engine usage patterns, and 247+ anonymous submissions to the FRC Mortgage Rejection Database. Published by FinanceRateCalc β€” free mortgage and financial tools built on 23 years of banking experience with 23 years of experience.

7.1%
30-Year Fixed Rate
↑ 0.2% from March
18.3
Years to Save (National)
↑ from 3.2 yrs (1975)
94%
Homes Score COLD
Based on FRC user data
290
Active Users Β· Apr 2026
4,590 home checks logged

1. Mortgage Denial Patterns β€” April 2026

Based on 290+ active users Β· 4,590 home checks to the FRC Mortgage Rejection Database and Bank Rejection Engine usage data, here are the denial patterns we're seeing in April 2026.

Top Denial Reasons

DTI too high
34%
Credit score too low
28%
Insufficient reserves
15%
Employment / self-employed
11%
Late payment history
8%
Property issues
4%

Denial Rate by Lender Type

Data Table
Lender TypeDenial RateMin Credit ScoreMax DTIBest For
Large National Bank72%680+43%Strong profiles only
Online / Non-Bank51%620+50%Mid-range profiles
Credit Union28%640+47%Community borrowers
FHA Lender22%580+57%Lower scores / higher DTI
Portfolio Lender18%Case by caseCase by caseSelf-employed / non-traditional
πŸ’‘ Key Finding: The same borrower profile that gets denied at a large national bank (72% denial rate) has a 78% chance of approval at an FHA lender. Lender selection is the single most impactful decision most applicants don't know they're making.

2. Salary-to-Home-Price Ratios β€” Top 20 Markets

The following table shows the salary required to comfortably afford the median home in each market, using the 28% housing ratio at a 7.1% rate with 20% down.

Data Table
CityMedian HomeSalary NeededMedian HH IncomeGap
San Jose, CA$1,100,000$185,000$120,000-$65,000
San Francisco, CA$1,150,000$193,000$130,000-$63,000
Los Angeles, CA$720,000$121,000$62,000-$59,000
Seattle, WA$750,000$126,000$98,000-$28,000
New York, NY$850,000$143,000$85,000-$58,000
Boston, MA$680,000$114,000$90,000-$24,000
Austin, TX$620,000$104,000$88,000-$16,000
Denver, CO$565,000$95,000$82,000-$13,000
Miami, FL$590,000$99,000$65,000-$34,000
Nashville, TN$480,000$81,000$72,000-$9,000
Charlotte, NC$375,000$63,000$68,000+$5,000
Atlanta, GA$385,000$65,000$68,000+$3,000
Phoenix, AZ$415,000$70,000$68,000-$2,000
Raleigh, NC$385,000$65,000$74,000+$9,000
Indianapolis, IN$245,000$41,000$58,000+$17,000
Columbus, OH$255,000$43,000$62,000+$19,000
Kansas City, MO$220,000$37,000$60,000+$23,000
Detroit, MI$215,000$36,000$55,000+$19,000
Birmingham, AL$225,000$38,000$55,000+$17,000
Buffalo, NY$195,000$33,000$52,000+$19,000

3. Generational Affordability Gap

The number of years required to save a 20% down payment on the median national home, assuming a 20% savings rate on median household income of that era.

Data Table
GenerationPeak Buying YearMedian HomeMedian IncomeYears to Save
Silent Generation1965$20,000$6,9002.9 years
Baby Boomers1975$39,000$12,7003.2 years
Generation X1995$113,000$34,0005.8 years
Millennials2015$223,000$56,00011.4 years
Generation Z / Today2026$428,000$74,58018.3 years
πŸ’‘ The 5.7Γ— Gap: A Gen Z buyer today needs 5.7 times longer to save a down payment than a Boomer did in 1975 β€” on the same home in the same country. This isn't a lifestyle choice gap. It's a math gap.

5. FRC User Data β€” April 2026

For the first time, we are publishing aggregated behavioral data from FinanceRateCalc's Chrome extension users. All data is anonymous and aggregated β€” no individual user data is stored or shared.

290
Active Extension Users
March 1 – April 28, 2026
4,590
Zillow Listings Checked
Avg. 16 homes per user
94%
Scored COLD or COOLING
Based on DOM + price cuts
6%
Scored WARM or HOT
High-demand listings
πŸ’‘ Key Finding: The average FRC user checks 16 listings before finding a home that scores WARM or HOT. This suggests most buyers are browsing far outside their financially viable range β€” a pattern consistent with nationwide affordability data.

6. Methodology & Data Sources

The FRC Affordability Index draws from the following sources:

Denial patterns: Anonymous submissions to the FRC Mortgage Rejection Database (n=247), supplemented by HMDA public data and Federal Reserve consumer finance reports.

Home prices: NAR median existing home sale prices, Zillow Research, and local MLS data where available.

Income data: US Census Bureau American Community Survey, BLS Current Population Survey.

Mortgage rates: Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (30-year fixed, April 2026).

Lender denial rates: FRC Bank Rejection Engine usage data and HMDA loan-level data. National bank and credit union rates are approximate based on public filings.

Press & Media Inquiries
Journalists and researchers are welcome to cite data from the FRC Affordability Index with attribution to FinanceRateCalc.com. For questions, data requests, or interview inquiries, contact us at financeratecalc.com.
Contact for Press Inquiries
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πŸ” Bank Rejection Engine πŸ“Š Rejection Database 🏠 American Dream Calculator πŸ—ΊοΈ Salary by State Map
Z
The part almost nobody publishes free

Prices and rates are widely reported. Whether a lender says yes is not. In the complete 2025 federal record, denial rates across the 100 largest FHA lenders ran from 1.8% to 78.7% — same programme, same year.

And it is not simply who applies where: standardizing on state, loan amount, income, debt-to-income and loan-to-value, applicant mix explains only a 2.7× range in expected outcomes.

Which lenders approve most → Your metro → Denied? →

CFPB HMDA 2025, computed by FinanceRateCalc. Covers the highest-volume lenders published per market, not all lenders. Historical observations, not predictions. CC BY 4.0, not independently reproduced.

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FinanceRateCalc · Independent analysis of the complete federal HMDA record · Measured, not assumed. · No lender or AI vendor funds or previews this work.