🏙️ Austin, TX · 2026 Market Data

Can You Afford a Home
in Austin?

FRC Demand: HOT→COOLING
$524,000
Median Home Price
$2,845/mo
Est. Payment
$111K+
Salary Needed

Austin Housing Market — 2026 Reality Check

The median home price in Austin is $524,000. At today's rates (7.2%), an 80% conventional loan on that home costs $2,845/month in principal and interest alone — before taxes, insurance, and HOA.

To qualify under standard bank underwriting (28% front-end DTI), you need a gross income of at least $111,000/year. The median household income in Austin is approximately $85,000/year — putting the price-to-income ratio at 6.2×.

Median Home Price$524,000
20% Down Payment$104,800
3.5% FHA Down Payment$18,340
Est. Monthly Payment (80% LTV)$2,845/mo
Salary Needed (28% DTI)$111K+/year
Price-to-Income Ratio6.2× median income
FRC Buyer Demand ScoreHOT→COOLING
Current Mortgage Rate Est.7.2%
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Frequently Asked Questions

What salary do I need to buy a home in Austin?
Based on the median Austin home price of $524,000 and standard 28% front-end DTI ratio, you need a gross income of at least $111,000/year to qualify for a conventional mortgage. With existing debt obligations (car payments, student loans), you may need more.
Is Austin a buyer's or seller's market in 2026?
Based on FRC Buyer Demand data from active listings, Austin is currently showing HOT→COOLING demand. This is a transitioning market — some negotiating room exists but well-priced homes still move quickly.
What is the down payment for a home in Austin?
For the median Austin home ($524,000): 20% conventional down payment = $104,800. FHA minimum 3.5% down = $18,340. FHA requires a credit score of 580+. Conventional loans typically require 620+.
The part almost nobody publishes free

Prices and rates are widely reported. Whether a lender says yes is not. In the complete 2025 federal record, denial rates across the 100 largest FHA lenders ran from 1.8% to 78.7% — same programme, same year.

And it is not simply who applies where: standardizing on state, loan amount, income, debt-to-income and loan-to-value, applicant mix explains only a 2.7× range in expected outcomes.

Which lenders approve most → Your metro → Denied? →

CFPB HMDA 2025, computed by FinanceRateCalc. Covers the highest-volume lenders published per market, not all lenders. Historical observations, not predictions. CC BY 4.0, not independently reproduced.

The Denial Dispatch
One finding a week from the federal mortgage record.
One chart, three paragraphs, every Saturday. Measured, not assumed.
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FinanceRateCalc · Independent analysis of the complete federal HMDA record · Measured, not assumed. · No lender or AI vendor funds or previews this work.