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FRC City Analysis · May 2026

Phoenix, AZ
Housing Affordability

STRESSED — 38% of homes affordable

Phoenix offers more affordability than most Sun Belt cities. Low property taxes (0.62%) and a growing inventory of newer homes make it one of the better markets for middle-income buyers.

$420,000
Median Home Price
$2,560/mo
Monthly PITI (20% down)
$92,000
Income Needed (36% DTI)
$65,000
Median Household Income
+$27,000
Annual Income Gap
38%
Homes Affordable on Median

The Math

At today's 6.7% mortgage rate with 20% down, the monthly PITI on Phoenix's median home is $2,560. To keep housing under 36% of gross income (the back-end DTI threshold most lenders use), you need $92,000/year — 142% of the city's median income.

The local median income of $65,000 leaves a gap of $27,000/year. This means the median household needs to earn 42% more to comfortably qualify for the median home.

Affordable Alternatives

📍 Nearest affordable areas: Mesa, Tempe, Gilbert
These surrounding communities typically offer lower home prices within commuting distance.
See If You'd Qualify

These are market averages. Your situation depends on your income, debts, and credit.

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Source: BLS OEWS 2024, Zillow ZHVI May 2026, FRC Underwriting Model. Not financial advice. Educational analysis only.

The other half of the answer

Prices and salaries tell you what a house costs here. They do not tell you whether a lender will approve the loan.

18.2%
of FHA applications denied in Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ, 2025 · national 22.1%
Lennar Mortgage, LLC
13.6%
loanDepot.com LLC
17.9%
DHI Mortgage Company, LTD.
18.0%
United Wholesale Mortgage
18.1%
ROCKET MORTGAGE
27.7%

A 14.1-point spread between the busiest FHA lenders here.

Loans under $150K denied at 55.5% versus 16.4% above $250K.

The record here → Which lenders approve most → Apply to more than one? →

CFPB HMDA 2025, computed by FinanceRateCalc. Covers the highest-volume lenders published per market, not all lenders. Rates reflect applicant mix as well as lender practice — historical observations, not predictions. CC BY 4.0, not independently reproduced.

The Denial Dispatch
One finding a week from the federal mortgage record.
One chart, three paragraphs, every Saturday. Measured, not assumed.
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FinanceRateCalc · Independent analysis of the complete federal HMDA record · Measured, not assumed. · No lender or AI vendor funds or previews this work.