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FRC City Analysis · May 2026

Chicago, IL
Housing Affordability

STRESSED — 38% of homes affordable

Chicago's affordability is complicated by very high property taxes (2.13%). A $340K home costs $7,242/year in taxes. Despite lower home prices, true affordability is moderate — not as good as the sticker price suggests.

$340,000
Median Home Price
$2,500/mo
Monthly PITI (20% down)
$97,000
Income Needed (36% DTI)
$65,000
Median Household Income
+$32,000
Annual Income Gap
38%
Homes Affordable on Median

The Math

At today's 6.7% mortgage rate with 20% down, the monthly PITI on Chicago's median home is $2,500. To keep housing under 36% of gross income (the back-end DTI threshold most lenders use), you need $97,000/year — 149% of the city's median income.

The local median income of $65,000 leaves a gap of $32,000/year. This means the median household needs to earn 49% more to comfortably qualify for the median home.

Affordable Alternatives

📍 Nearest affordable areas: Evanston, Oak Park, Naperville
These surrounding communities typically offer lower home prices within commuting distance.
See If You'd Qualify

These are market averages. Your situation depends on your income, debts, and credit.

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Source: BLS OEWS 2024, Zillow ZHVI May 2026, FRC Underwriting Model. Not financial advice. Educational analysis only.

The other half of the answer

Prices and salaries tell you what a house costs here. They do not tell you whether a lender will approve the loan.

30.0%
of FHA applications denied in Chicago-Naperville-Evanston, IL, 2025 · national 22.1%
CROSSCOUNTRY MORTGAGE, LLC
9.0%
GUARANTEED RATE, INC.
13.8%
loanDepot.com LLC
25.0%
United Wholesale Mortgage
26.0%
ROCKET MORTGAGE
35.2%

A 26.2-point spread between the busiest FHA lenders here.

Loans under $150K denied at 50.9% versus 25.2% above $250K.

The record here → Which lenders approve most → Apply to more than one? →

CFPB HMDA 2025, computed by FinanceRateCalc. Covers the highest-volume lenders published per market, not all lenders. Rates reflect applicant mix as well as lender practice — historical observations, not predictions. CC BY 4.0, not independently reproduced.

The Denial Dispatch
One finding a week from the federal mortgage record.
One chart, three paragraphs, every Saturday. Measured, not assumed.
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FinanceRateCalc · Independent analysis of the complete federal HMDA record · Measured, not assumed. · No lender or AI vendor funds or previews this work.