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FRC Research

Every tool.
All the research.

Tools, calculators, and data pages built on the complete federal HMDA record, 2018–2025. Free. No SSN. No ads.

6 yearsHMDA data
1.2M2025 FHA decisions — complete
100lenders ranked
52states analyzed
⚡ AI Routing & Decision Engines 3 tools
📊 Lender Comparison Tools 6 tools
⚠️ Cliff & Threshold Analysis 4 tools
👤 Borrower Intelligence 5 tools
📈 Data & Research 9 pages
NEW 🧬
The Mortgage Genome Project
Every lender has a decision DNA. CLTV cliffs, FICO floors, DTI sensitivity — 100+ behavioral genes mapped from 2.9M records. Same file, different DNA, different outcome.
NEW 🏢
Condo Eligibility Scanner
Enter HOA insurance details — instantly calculate per-unit deductible and check if the building passes Fannie Mae's July 1, 2026 $50K cap. Prints client-ready summary.
WORLD FIRST ⚡
Shock Beta
Which lenders panic when markets turn? The first metric measuring each lender's shock amplitude — validated across two opposite macro shocks. Freedom: 100. Guild: 0.
NEW 📖
Mortgage Dictionary
71 terms every homebuyer and broker should know — with real HMDA data context. DTI, CLTV, overlays, black holes, denial genes. Search, filter by category, click to expand.
NEW 📊
Lender Response Surface Explorer
See every major FHA lender's denial probability as a 3D surface across DTI and CLTV. The cliff is visible. The black hole is visible. Rotate, zoom, compare. Source: 310K HMDA records.
NEW 📐
6 Correlations Nobody Found in Mortgage Data
Denial predicts delinquency 2 years out (r=0.618). Unemployment rising means denials fall. Lender intent ≠ lender behavior. Six real findings from 8 years of HMDA data.
NEW 🔗
Lender Similarity Engine
Which lenders share the same decision DNA? If Rocket denied you, don't apply to PennyMac — they're 87% similar. This engine ranks all 11 major FHA lenders by behavioral distance from any selected lender.
NEW 🔬
Why Your State's Denial Rate Might Be Misleading
HMDA only captures mortgage applicants — not cash buyers. In Mississippi, 50% of homes sell cash. We ran the correlations: cash share, income, and denial rates. The results are surprising.
DEADLINE ⏳
10 Days: Fannie Mae's New Condo Rule
$50,000 per-unit deductible cap takes effect July 1, 2026. Four-phase timeline, full breakdown.
NEW 🗃️
State Denial Rates 2018–2024
Interactive HMDA data for all 50 states + DC + PR across 6 years. Sort, filter, compare. Real FFIEC source data.
NEW ⚖️
Which Lenders Reject High-DTI Most?
DTI-driven denial share ranges from 22% to 41% across the 100 largest lenders. Full breakdown, press-ready.
NEW 📊
Which Lenders Actually Grew?
UWM grew 43% from 2020-2024. Wells Fargo lost 88%. The refi boom hid who was really building a business.
NEW 🔁
Should You Reapply With the Same Lender?
78% of approved-after-denial borrowers went back to the same lender. Only 17% of still-denied borrowers planned to. Freddie Mac's own data, explained.
NEW 🏚️
Did a Low Appraisal Sink Your Loan?
8.2% of appraisals come in below contract. Wells Fargo denies 18% of files over collateral. Rocket denies 6%. The lender matters more than the number.
NEW ⚖️
The FHA Penalty, By Lender
Switching from Conventional to FHA adds 27.71pp of denial risk at Wells Fargo. Just 0.35pp at CrossCountry. Same federal program, wildly different treatment.
NEW 📊
Conventional vs FHA vs VA — By Lender
All 3 loan types, the 100 largest lenders, side by side. CrossCountry denies VA at 3.0%. Wells Fargo denies VA at 22.14%. Same year, 7x difference.
HOT 📉
The Great Collapse
16.4M applications (2021) → 7.2M (2023). −56% volume. The Fed rate shock, visualized.
NEW 🔄
The Elastic States
States that gained most from 2020's rate cuts lost most in the 2022–23 shock. r=0.70 across all 50 states + DC + PR.
🎲 Quizzes & Simulators 10 pages
🧮 Calculators & Trackers 15 pages
NEW ⚖️
Cash vs Mortgage — Which Makes You Richer?
Enter home price, cash on hand, mortgage rate, and investment return. Get net wealth at 10/20/30 years, the breakeven year, and a clear verdict.
NEW 💰
How Much House Can Your Down Payment Buy?
Find your down payment amount, $5K to $200K, for real buying power.
NEW 🔄
Should I Refinance? By Rate (5.5%–8.5%)
Find your current rate for a real break-even calculation against today's rates.
📌
Mortgage Points: Are They Worth It?
The actual break-even math on buying down your rate.
💳
Credit Card Payoff Calculator
See exactly how fast you can pay off debt with different strategies.
📆
Daily Mortgage Savings Calculator
Pay daily instead of monthly — see the real interest savings.
⏱️
Days to Homeownership Calculator
A countdown that turns your savings rate into a real closing date.
🛡️
Home Equity Protector
How much of your home are you really worth, after debt and fees?
⏰
Foreclosure Timeline Calculator
How long do you actually have if you fall behind on payments?
📈
The Real Cost of Waiting to Buy
What another year of renting actually costs you, in real numbers.
📋
Mortgage Amortization Schedule
Full payment-by-payment breakdown for any loan amount and rate.
😤
Rate Grief Engine
What your old rate has cost you, calculated to the dollar.
🗺️
Salary Needed to Buy a Home, by State
The income threshold for homeownership in every state, 2026 data.
⚖️
Loan Offer Comparator
Compare up to 3 bank offers side by side, all the fine print included.
👫
Can Two Salaries Buy This House?
Combined-income affordability math for co-borrowers.
✅
Can I Get a Loan? Free Eligibility Check
A quick, honest eligibility check before you formally apply.
📘 Denial & Credit Guides 31 pages
NEW 🔢
Credit Score Lookup (500–845)
Find your exact score for lender approval odds, rate impact, and cost comparison.
NEW 🎂
Affordability by Age (22–64)
Find your exact age for real income and savings benchmarks.
NEW 📍
Mortgage Calculator by ZIP Code
50 major U.S. zip codes with real local price ranges.
NEW 🏙️
Home Affordability by City
31 major metros — real local numbers, not national averages.
NEW 💵
Mortgage Payment by Amount & Rate
90 combinations — $200K to $1M, 5.5% to 8.0%.
NEW 🌉
Bridge Loan Calculator
Sell price × buy price matrix — 50 real combinations.
🔍
ECOA Denial Code Lookup
Look up any adverse action code with plain-English explanations.
📖
Mortgage & Loan Glossary
50+ terms explained in plain English by a working banker.
❓
Why Was My Mortgage Denied?
Real answers based on HMDA denial-reason data, not guesses.
🚫
Mortgage Denied? 3 Questions to Ask
Before you give up or reapply, ask these first.
🗄️
Mortgage Rejection Database
Real borrower stories of denial — and what happened next.
🗺️
Mortgage Rejection Map
Real rejection stories, mapped by location.
🏙️
Mortgage Denial Rate by City
Where approvals are hardest to get, city by city.
🚨
Mortgage Crisis Assessment
Are you at risk? A honest self-assessment tool.
🌎
US Mortgage Heat Map
Market conditions by state, visualized.
🧭
Mortgage Navigator
Your personalized route to approval, based on your specific profile.
🪟
Mortgage Approval Window
At what rate can you actually qualify? Find your real window.
🔒
How Long Should I Lock My Rate?
An honest answer, not a sales pitch.
📈
How to Improve Credit Score for a Mortgage
The 2026 guide to raising your score before you apply.
📅
Improve Your Credit Score in 180 Days
A month-by-month plan, not vague advice.
🆕
Buying a House With No Credit History
4 real paths that actually work — not just "build credit first."
👥
Two People, One Has Bad Credit?
The real options when co-borrowers have mismatched credit.
🚪
The Co-Signer Exit Strategy
How to remove yourself — or get removed — from a co-signed loan.
💼
Self-Employed Mortgage Denial
1099 income, write-offs, and how lenders actually read your file.
🎖️
VA Loan Denial Reasons
Agency vs. lender overlay — what actually causes VA denials.
🏦
Why Did a Credit Union Deny My Mortgage?
Credit unions underwrite differently than banks — here's how.
🏛️
Why Did an FHA Lender Deny My Mortgage?
FHA-specific denial patterns, explained.
🏢
Why Did a National Bank Deny My Mortgage?
How large national banks underwrite differently than independents.
🎯
What Credit Score Do I Need?
The real thresholds for FHA, conventional, and jumbo loans.
🆚
Is It Better to Rent or Buy in 2026?
The real math, not the conventional wisdom.
📑 Reports & Forecasts 13 pages
🤝 Realtor & Broker Tools 9 pages
📍 Local Market Guides 14 pages
NEW 🏙️
Mortgage Rates by City (50 Metros)
Local rates and real 2026 numbers for 50 major U.S. cities.
⚖️
Chicago vs Minneapolis Housing
Median price, monthly PITI, and affordability side by side.
⚖️
Denver vs Phoenix Housing
Median price, monthly PITI, and affordability side by side.
⚖️
Las Vegas vs Phoenix Housing
Median price, monthly PITI, and affordability side by side.
⚖️
Raleigh vs Atlanta Housing
Median price, monthly PITI, and affordability side by side.
🏘️
Hidden Costs: Beverly Hills, LA
Taxes, insurance, HOA, and maintenance — the real cost beyond the mortgage.
🏘️
Hidden Costs: Brooklyn Heights, NY
Taxes, insurance, HOA, and maintenance — the real cost beyond the mortgage.
🏘️
Hidden Costs: Buckhead, Atlanta
Taxes, insurance, HOA, and maintenance — the real cost beyond the mortgage.
🏘️
Hidden Costs: Highland Park, Dallas
Taxes, insurance, HOA, and maintenance — the real cost beyond the mortgage.
🏘️
Hidden Costs: Lincoln Park, Chicago
Taxes, insurance, HOA, and maintenance — the real cost beyond the mortgage.
🏘️
Hidden Costs: Queen Anne, Seattle
Taxes, insurance, HOA, and maintenance — the real cost beyond the mortgage.
🏘️
Hidden Costs: South Beach, Miami
Taxes, insurance, HOA, and maintenance — the real cost beyond the mortgage.
🏘️
Hidden Costs: South End, Boston
Taxes, insurance, HOA, and maintenance — the real cost beyond the mortgage.
🏘️
Hidden Costs: Westlake Hills, Austin
Taxes, insurance, HOA, and maintenance — the real cost beyond the mortgage.
No tools found for ""
The part almost nobody publishes free

Prices and rates are widely reported. Whether a lender says yes is not. In the complete 2025 federal record, denial rates across the 100 largest FHA lenders ran from 1.8% to 78.7% — same programme, same year.

And it is not simply who applies where: standardizing on state, loan amount, income, debt-to-income and loan-to-value, applicant mix explains only a 2.7× range in expected outcomes.

Observed FHA denial rates by lender → Your metro → Denied? →

CFPB HMDA 2025, computed by FinanceRateCalc. Covers the highest-volume lenders published per market, not all lenders. Historical observations, not predictions. CC BY 4.0, not independently reproduced.

The Denial Dispatch
One finding a week from the federal mortgage record.
One chart, three paragraphs, every Saturday. Measured, not assumed.
Get the Dispatch →
AI Accuracy Index The Door Effect The Denial Map Open Data About 184 Metro Gaps Evidence Navigator Hallucination Files Press Newsletter
FinanceRateCalc · Independent analysis of the complete federal HMDA record · Measured, not assumed. · No lender or AI vendor funds or previews this work.